This is a national scandal that should be addressed with a sense of urgency. It is little good pointing out, as ministers and officials do, that it is only a small proportion of lifers who reoffend on their release. Jeremy Wright, the justice minister, said it was "essential we get this right to protect the public". But I recall his predecessors saying the same thing years ago. In 2006, the chief inspector of probation investigated a murder committed by a released prisoner and concluded that there had been a "systemic failure that went beyond the apparent inability of individuals to carry out the jobs they were meant to do. He said the human rights of the killer had been put ahead of the wider publics right to be protected a tendency we are seeing again with the recent ruling of the Strasbourg Court questioning whether whole life tariffs are fair and just. Why dont they ask the families of those murdered by a killer who should never have been released?I spent most of yesterday compiling all the election predictions made by various pundits and pollsters with a view to writing a blog today announcing the winner. But there's no winner. If the Tories end up with 307, as the exit poll predicted, wins points for coming up with the same number, but they overestimated the number of seats the Lib Dems would win at 82. In this, they weren't alone, obviously. Nate Silver of predicted the Lib Dems would win 99 and Peter Kellner thought they'd win between 75 and 85. UNS seat calculators, such as , also overestimated the number of Lib Dems gains, giving them 66 on the basis of a 22.9% share of the vote.

Garcia's election win

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